Home/Spain Tips/Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid
Primera DivisionSaturday, 05 September 2026 · Full-time3-0✓
ATH

Athletic Bilbao

VS
ATL

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Over2.5 goals
Analyst pickrecent numbers: 48% on this side

Why we picked this for Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid

For Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid (Primera Division) our analyst goes with Over 2.5 goals. This is a judgement call against the recent numbers, which is why no confidence figure is shown. In their last 5 matches, Athletic Bilbao's games produced 3.2 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Atletico Madrid's games averaged 3.4, with 3 of 5 over the line. Form on its own doesn't settle this one: 5 of the 10 recent games went over 2.5, which is worth keeping in mind before backing Over 2.5.

The head-to-head doesn't back it either: only 2 of their last 5 meetings finished over 2.5 goals. It is a judgement call, not a numbers call, and it is tracked in our record like every other pick. Final score: 3-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

Advertisement

Recommended bookmakers

Partners offering strong markets for over/under betting. 18+, terms apply.

1xbet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
22bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
GG.bet
Claim bonus →
New customers only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
3.2
avg goals, Athletic Bilbao last 5
3.4
avg goals, Atletico Madrid last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
5 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Athletic Bilbao
Celta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Aug 30, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Barcelona 2-0 Athletic Bilbao
Aug 27, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Athletic Bilbao 1-3 Sevilla
Aug 22, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Real Madrid 4-2 Athletic Bilbao
May 23, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Celta Vigo
May 17, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla 1-3 Atletico Madrid
Aug 29, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 2-2 Villarreal
Aug 23, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Malaga
Aug 19, 2026
Under 2.5✕
Villarreal 5-1 Atletico Madrid
May 24, 2026
Over 2.5✓
Atletico Madrid 1-0 Girona
May 17, 2026
Under 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Apr 25, 2026Atletico MadridAthletic Bilbao3-2
Over 2.5✓
Dec 06, 2025Athletic BilbaoAtletico Madrid1-0
Under 2.5✕
Mar 01, 2025Atletico MadridAthletic Bilbao1-0
Under 2.5✕
Aug 31, 2024Athletic BilbaoAtletico Madrid0-1
Under 2.5✕
Apr 27, 2024Atletico MadridAthletic Bilbao3-1
Over 2.5✓