Home/UEFA Tips/Wales vs Portugal
Nations LeagueTuesday, 17 November 2026 · Kick-off 19:45 UTC
WAL

Wales

VS
POR

Portugal

Wales vs Portugal Prediction

Under3.5 goals
92% confidence
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Why we picked this for Wales vs Portugal

Our pick for Wales vs Portugal in Nations League is Under 3.5 goals, with 92% confidence. Recent form: 0 of Wales's last 5 games went over 3.5 goals (2.0 goals per game in total), against 1 of 5 for Portugal (2.8 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Previous meetings agree, with 2 of the last 2 head-to-heads ending under 3.5. At 92%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls.

How we make our predictions →

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2.0
avg goals, Wales last 5
2.8
avg goals, Portugal last 5
0%
last 2 H2H went over 3.5
1 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 3.5 total goals.

Wales
Wales 0-1 Denmark
Oct 04, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Wales 2-1 Norway
Oct 01, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Denmark 2-0 Wales
Sep 27, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Portugal 1-0 Wales
Sep 24, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Romania 2-1 Wales
Jun 06, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Portugal
Portugal 2-1 Norway
Oct 04, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Denmark 2-4 Portugal
Oct 01, 2026
Over 3.5✕
Norway 1-2 Portugal
Sep 27, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Portugal 1-0 Wales
Sep 24, 2026
Under 3.5✓
Portugal 0-1 Spain
Jul 06, 2026
Under 3.5✓

Last 2 meetings

Wales vs Portugal, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Sep 24, 2026PortugalWales1-0
Under 3.5✓
Jul 06, 2016PortugalWales2-0
Under 3.5✓

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