Arsenal
Newcastle
Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction
Why we picked this for Arsenal vs Newcastle
Under 2.5 goals is our call for Arsenal against Newcastle (FA Cup), rated at 83% confidence. Matches involving Arsenal produced 2.8 goals per game over their last 5, and 3 of those went over 2.5. For Newcastle it is 2.8 goals per game, with 2 of 5 over 2.5. Recent form is split here (5 of 10 games went under 2.5), so it doesn't settle the call on its own.
Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. A confidence of 83% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 0-0, so Under 2.5 landed.
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Last 5 matches, each side
Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal vs Newcastle, most recent first.
| Date | Home | Away | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | Arsenal | Newcastle | 4-0 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Aug 11, 2019 | Newcastle | Arsenal | 0-1 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Apr 01, 2019 | Arsenal | Newcastle | 2-0 | Under 2.5✓ |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Newcastle | Arsenal | 1-2 | Over 2.5✕ |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Newcastle | Arsenal | 2-1 | Over 2.5✕ |