Home/England Tips/Newcastle vs Arsenal
Premier LeagueSunday, 02 May 2021 · Full-time0-2✕
NEW

Newcastle

VS
ARS

Arsenal

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction

Over2.5 goals
62% confidence

Why we picked this for Newcastle vs Arsenal

Our pick for Newcastle vs Arsenal in Premier League is Over 2.5 goals, with 62% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Newcastle's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.4 goals per game in total), against 3 of 5 for Arsenal (2.6 per game). That recent scoring pattern is the main reason behind the pick.

Past meetings don't back this call, with just 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending over 2.5. Recent form weighs more heavily than older fixtures, which is why the pick stands. The 62% confidence reflects a real but modest lean in the recent numbers. The match ended 0-2, so Over 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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3.4
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
2.6
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
40%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
7 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Newcastle
Liverpool 1-1 Newcastle
Apr 24, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Newcastle 3-2 West Ham United
Apr 17, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Apr 11, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Newcastle 2-2 Tottenham Hotspur
Apr 04, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Brighton 3-0 Newcastle
Mar 20, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal
Villarreal 2-1 Arsenal
Apr 29, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Arsenal 0-1 Everton
Apr 23, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Arsenal 1-1 Fulham
Apr 18, 2021
Under 2.5✕
Slavia Prague 0-4 Arsenal
Apr 15, 2021
Over 2.5✓
Sheffield United 0-3 Arsenal
Apr 11, 2021
Over 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle vs Arsenal, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Jan 18, 2021ArsenalNewcastle3-0
Over 2.5✓
Jan 09, 2021ArsenalNewcastle0-0
Under 2.5✕
Feb 16, 2020ArsenalNewcastle4-0
Over 2.5✓
Aug 11, 2019NewcastleArsenal0-1
Under 2.5✕
Apr 01, 2019ArsenalNewcastle2-0
Under 2.5✕