Home/England Tips/Newcastle vs Arsenal
Premier LeagueSaturday, 04 November 2023 · Full-time1-0✓
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Newcastle

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Arsenal

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction

Under2.5 goals
77% confidence

Why we picked this for Newcastle vs Arsenal

Our pick for Newcastle vs Arsenal in Premier League is Under 2.5 goals, with 77% confidence. Recent form: 4 of Newcastle's last 5 games went over 2.5 goals (3.6 goals per game in total), against 4 of 5 for Arsenal (3.2 per game). Recent form leans the other way: only 2 of the 10 recent games went under 2.5.

Previous meetings agree, with 5 of the last 5 head-to-heads ending under 2.5. At 77%, most of the recent evidence lands on this side of the line, which makes it one of our stronger calls. Final score: 1-0. The pick won.

How we make our predictions →

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3.6
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
3.2
avg goals, Arsenal last 5
0%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
8 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Newcastle
Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-2 Newcastle
Oct 28, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
Oct 25, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Newcastle 4-0 Crystal Palace
Oct 21, 2023
Over 2.5✕
West Ham United 2-2 Newcastle
Oct 08, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Newcastle 4-1 Paris SG
Oct 04, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Arsenal
Arsenal 5-0 Sheffield United
Oct 28, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Sevilla 1-2 Arsenal
Oct 24, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal
Oct 21, 2023
Over 2.5✕
Arsenal 1-0 Manchester City
Oct 08, 2023
Under 2.5✓
Lens 2-1 Arsenal
Oct 03, 2023
Over 2.5✕

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle vs Arsenal, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
May 07, 2023NewcastleArsenal0-2
Under 2.5✓
Jan 03, 2023ArsenalNewcastle0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 16, 2022NewcastleArsenal2-0
Under 2.5✓
Nov 27, 2021ArsenalNewcastle2-0
Under 2.5✓
May 02, 2021NewcastleArsenal0-2
Under 2.5✓