Home/England Tips/Newcastle vs Leeds United
Premier LeagueWednesday, 07 January 2026 · Full-time4-3✕
NEW

Newcastle

VS
LEE

Leeds United

Newcastle vs Leeds United Prediction

Under2.5 goals
88% confidence

Why we picked this for Newcastle vs Leeds United

For this Premier League fixture we go with Under 2.5 goals for Newcastle vs Leeds United, at 88% confidence. In their last 5 matches, Newcastle's games produced 2.4 goals on average, 2 of them over 2.5. Leeds United's games averaged 2.2, with 1 of 5 over the line. Current form is what points us towards Under 2.5.

History between the two sides fits the pick too: 4 of 5 recent meetings went under 2.5. A confidence of 88% means the recent numbers clearly point to Under 2.5. The match ended 4-3, so Under 2.5 didn't come in.

How we make our predictions →

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2.4
avg goals, Newcastle last 5
2.2
avg goals, Leeds United last 5
20%
last 5 H2H went over 2.5
3 / 10
combined form matches over

Last 5 matches, each side

Most recent match first. Tag shows whether that match went over or under 2.5 total goals.

Newcastle
Newcastle 2-0 Crystal Palace
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Burnley 1-3 Newcastle
Dec 30, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Manchester United 1-0 Newcastle
Dec 26, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Newcastle 2-2 Chelsea
Dec 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle
Dec 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Leeds United
Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United
Jan 04, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Liverpool 0-0 Leeds United
Jan 01, 2026
Under 2.5✓
Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United
Dec 28, 2025
Under 2.5✓
Leeds United 4-1 Crystal Palace
Dec 20, 2025
Over 2.5✕
Brentford 1-1 Leeds United
Dec 14, 2025
Under 2.5✓

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle vs Leeds United, most recent first.

DateHomeAwayScoreResult
Aug 30, 2025Leeds UnitedNewcastle0-0
Under 2.5✓
May 13, 2023Leeds UnitedNewcastle2-2
Over 2.5✕
Dec 31, 2022NewcastleLeeds United0-0
Under 2.5✓
Jan 22, 2022Leeds UnitedNewcastle0-1
Under 2.5✓
Sep 17, 2021NewcastleLeeds United1-1
Under 2.5✓